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China announces £800bn stimulus to boost confidence



China has announced a total of 8 trillion yuan (£800bn) of "stimulus projects" to try to boost confidence in an economy that appears to be cooling faster than expected.

One Chinese province after another has stepped forward over the last fortnight to announce their plans, in what appears to be a propaganda effort to reassure the public that the economy is still on track.

Meanwhile, Wen Jiabao, the Chinese premier, promised over the weekend that the Chinese government would intensify its efforts to boost the economy in the second half of the year.

On a visit to Guangdong, the heartland of China's export industry, Mr Wen warned that "there will still be a lot of problems and uncertainties in exports going forward. The third quarter is a crucial period".

Analysts said the government could now steer the value of the yuan lower, after a gain of 4.7pc last year against the dollar. Further export tax rebates could also be used to bail out manufacturers.

China's export sector is suffering from anaemic demand from Europe and the United States. In the first seven months, exports rose 7.8pc, while imports rose 6.4pc, leaving China in danger of missing its 10pc target for trade growth this year. July's exports grew at the lowest pace since 2009 and there are reports of factory workers leaving and returning to their home provinces for the first time since the financial crisis.

The Telegraph has travelled to the south of China over recent days to witness a slowdown in the coastal economy and in the export sector, and also to areas which are flourishing with new investment, and where the local economy is booming. The picture appears mixed. China, geographically almost the same size as the Eurozone, appears to be struggling in some areas and flourishing in others. A new inland corridor, running from Liaoning in the north to Guizhou in the south, through cities such as Wuhan and Changsha, is booming.

In response, Guangdong has unveiled 177 "core projects" worth 1 trillion yuan, joining a long list of local governments to announce "stimulus" plans. The huge cities of Chongqing and Tianjin, meanwhile, both said they would spend 1.5 trillion yuan, while Guizhou, one of China's poorest provinces, has said it will spend 3 trillion yuan on eco-tourism and creating a series of national parks.

The central government, meanwhile, said it would spend to plough 2.4 trillion yuan into reducing carbon emissions and energy conservation programmes over the next three years, and has already set aside 26bn yuan in subsidies to encourage consumers to switch to low-energy appliances.

The role call of announcements may be a signal that after half a year of fine-tuning monetary policy, the government is preparing to take more drastic measures.

While the Communist party had pencilled in slower growth of 7.5pc for this year, in order to restructure and rebalance the economy, there are indications that China may suffer, or may already have suffered, a "hard landing", where growth would fall to below 7pc.

"A hard landing in China would look like the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009 when exports collapsed, factories had no orders and migrant workers were laid off by the tens of millions," says Wang Tao, an economist at UBS.

Mr Wen said many "negative factors" would continue "to affect stable economic operations in the second half" and that the difficulties of boosting growth are "still relatively large".

"Facing the current difficulties, we have to improve the operating environment for companies and enhance the corporate confidence," he said.

Many of the new stimulus projects appear to simply be restatements of existing commitments, and there was no indication of how they will be funded.

However, economists at Barclays Capital said that, unlike the boom in infrastructure spending after the financial crisis, the projects are aimed at boosting China's technological capabilities and its domestic consumption.

"These plans should have a reasonable 'quality control'," they said, in a note, adding that whether or not the plans were new or old, bringing them forward would be "helpful in offsetting the headwinds from external demand deceleration".

Several economists remain confident that China will continue its blistering growth for several years to come. Justin Yifu Lin, the former chief economist at the World Bank, predicted that the Chinese economy would continue its high growth rate for "another 20 to 30 years".

Mr Wen also said that, despite the problems, China's "economic fundamentals have not changed". He added: "We have a lot of good conditions and optimistic factors that will help stabilise growth".----

Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/china-business/9500548/China-announces-800bn-stimulus-to-boost-confidence.html


Added: Aug-26-2012 Occurred On: Aug-26-2012
By: MB-UK
In:
World News
Tags: china, economy, stimulus, boost, confidence, markets, money
Marked as: approved
Views: 2137 | Comments: 30 | Votes: 2 | Favorites: 0 | Shared: 0 | Updates: 0 | Times used in channels: 2
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  • Lol, so now they're playing the print money game too...that was quick, you're supposed to do the get enormously rich and powerful thing through conquest first...

    Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

    (2)

    • @ElegantDecline

      In a way, China's already conquering the world by buying out petroleum companies, energy mines and other resources worldwide.

      As for the 'print money' comment, China's a big fat stimulus driven economy anyway, the difference is that the government controls its own currency not some crooked private banks...
      And because of that, China controls its own exchange rates and that alone keeps any potential deficit at arm's length.


      .

      Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

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    • @God_Himself
      Better crooked bankers than crooked politicians if income disparity is any indication. What say you? considering that the average American makes more than 10x the average Chinese worker. Dont worry though, the party has your back, LOL!

      The party had better watch their back though if the growth rate slows down too much. Wouldn't want a billion or so pitchforks on your doorstep!

      Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

      (0)

    • @mikedelta12

      Unlike in our western economies, income disparity in China is actually decreasing. In the last 3 decades 300 million Chinese moved from below the poverty line to middle class. The US and the EU middle class is shrinking every day. You can't deny that.

      Yes, there is still a huge amount of work to be done of course and yes government officials can be corrupt but the communist party is desperately trying to close the gap between the rural poor and the new middle class hence all the More..

      Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

      (0)

    • @God_Himself
      Income disparity is decreasing simply because it was atrocious compared to the west to begin with.

      As far of the middle class shrinking. I may agree with you only when you can a) decide on who's definition of the middle class you want to use and, b) over what time frame. Otherwise that statement is just a game of symantics.

      Sure I'll brag that Americans make 10x what a Chinese national makes because it affords a higher standard of living. Do you think the average citizen in China More..

      Posted Aug-27-2012 By 

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    • @ElegantDecline

      As long as they can manage the supply of money with adjusted and reasonable inflation everything will be normal. Though they cannot keep this up otherwise it will resemble the German mark during hitler's time.(So useless they would use it to start wood fires and wipe their backsides.)

      Posted Aug-27-2012 By 

      (0)

  • No need to worry about Chinese economic dominance any more; they're going to try stimulus programs there, too.

    Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

    (0)

  • Idiots, following Europe and the USA into failure and inflation.

    Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

    (0)

  • The good times only last too long

    Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

    (0)

  • oh shit...here it goes. Apparently no one learned ANYTHING from the current failed Obamanation administration. This is going to fuck with the world. But I'm kind of glad because we need to get a lot of shit out of China and they need to stop fuck fixing the price of their currency.

    Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

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    • @MatBower

      Is China, a long as they fuck up their economy is ok. We should concentrate in getting rid of Obama and reversing his retarded policies and fixing our economy.

      Posted Aug-27-2012 By 

      (0)

  • Like good little Communists. Fuck bailouts and fuck stimulus programs. Let the free market figure it out, it's how they got to be free markets in the first place.

    Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

    (0)

  • Think they could spare some of that for me to get a new comp?

    Posted Aug-27-2012 By 

    (0)

  • No, it's not the stimulus for China, but the memey to buy things from the west. It's China's stimulus for the west.

    Google translate

    Xinhuanet Beijing, aug. 19 (xinhua hao yalin LiShuo) vice President xi jinping 19 said, estimated in the future five years China will import more than $8 trillion goods.

    Xi jinping in the morning is a sino-us entrepreneur forum to do the above the said. Xi jinping and visiting U.S. vice President biden common attend the symposium.

    Posted Aug-27-2012 By 

    (0)

  • Jesus christ... £800bn is ALOT and if you consider the economic multiplier effect....China has alot of prosperity coming their way.

    Posted Aug-27-2012 By 

    (0)

  • Be nice to see the US spend this on schooling and domestic stuff.. oh wait government needs another pay raise and some more bonuses.. so it would be lucky to start off with 800bil and actually spend 200bil on projects.

    Posted Aug-27-2012 By 

    (0)

  • Are you just going to post words you find elsewhere, or post VIDEOS? Rhetorical question, I don't give a damn about your answer.

    Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

    (-2)

    • @SOONER3 And how many videos have you posted....0.That's how many.Those of us that can read found it to be an interesting article.Voted!

      Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

      (2)

    • @SOONER3

      lol
      You're an LL-welfare-queen.
      You've never posted anything (words or vids) but still complain about the type of uploads you're getting from others
      Pfffft


      .

      Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

      (-1)

  • Screw China. USA needs to stop buying their cheap crap and put them back in place.

    Posted Aug-26-2012 By 

    (-2)