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Iran's satellite spells potential ICBM threat: Experts

WASHINGTON: Iran's launch of a domestically made satellite into orbit demonstrates Tehran has moved one step closer to eventually building
long-range nuclear missiles that could reach Europe or the United States, experts said on Tuesday.


The ability to send a satellite into space -- combined with Tehran's disputed nuclear program and uranium enrichment -- raises the threat Iran could ultimately have an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) arsenal, US officials and experts say.

"In the case of Iran, one of the biggest concerns we've always had is that any country that can put a satellite into orbit has thereby demonstrated that they can send a nuclear weapon to intercontinental distances," said Rick Lehner, a spokesman of the US Missile Defense Agency.

Iranian leaders portrayed the launch of the Omid (Hope) satellite on Monday as a technological milestone and a symbol of national pride, but the move reinforced concerns in Western capitals about Tehran's nuclear ambitions.

It also may have had the unintended effect of bolstering arguments for a missile defense system in Europe, even amid signs US President Barack Obama might delay the program to ease tensions with Russia.

US advocates for missile defense have long cited Tehran as the source of a possible threat against Europe, said Patrick Clawson of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin "has ridiculed US statements about how Iran could at some point have a system that could reach Europe and suggested that this is nonsense," Clawson said.

With Iran ignoring demands to freeze sensitive nuclear work, the satellite launch was also sure to complicate US and European diplomacy with Tehran as a new American president tries to defuse tensions and open a possible dialogue.

The United States and European allies sharpened their tone Tuesday toward Iran, with White House press secretary Robert Gibbs saying the satellite launch "does not convince us that Iran is acting responsibly to advance stability or security in the region."

The United States, he said ominously, has pledged to use "all elements of our national power to deal with Iran."

The Obama administration said it planned to raise the issues of Iran's nuclear and missile programs at talks in Germany on Wednesday with European allies, Russia and China.

Tehran's apparently successful launch was particularly impressive given the strict international sanctions imposed on Iran, including restrictions on missile-related technology, experts said.

"In the face of world opposition and sanctions, Iran has joined a very exclusive club: those countries that have managed to orbit a satellite," Geoffrey Forden, research associate at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, wrote on armscontrolwonk.com.

Based on data released by the US space agency NASA and reports from amateur observers, Forden said it appeared the satellite was successfully sent into a relatively low orbit.

But it remained unclear if Iran had used a three-stage rocket with technology associated with Soviet-era Scud missiles, or had made a "quantum leap" with a much more powerful two-stage rocket, he said.

"If it was a two-stage missile then they had a huge jump in technology and that would be very scary," Forden said.

The sophisticated two-stage rocket "would certainly advance the possibility of an ICBM much more than we've been thinking about until now."

He said there were indications from amateur observers of the launch that the Iranians had used a two-stage rocket, but it was too soon to reach any conclusions.

However one US official who works in national security played down the significance of the Omid satellite.

"It's certainly something to keep an eye on but it's not ringing any alarm bells," said the official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.

"Satellite technology is not new, and there are different levels of sophistication and I wouldn't put this in the category of advanced satellite technology at all," the official said.

For Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad --- who has vowed to expand his country's scientific development -- the satellite carried a message of "peace and brotherhood" to the world and he dismissed suggestions the space project had a military objective.


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Added: Feb-3-2009 Occurred On: Feb-3-2009
By: berlin_hamann
In:
Iran, Middle East
Tags: iran, a, third, world, country, with, sanctions, will, get, icbms
Marked as: approved
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  • Not to worry....Iran doesn't want nuclear weapons and has no intentions of developing them. Ahmadinejad has told the west that....and it's the truth. Trust him..would he lie?

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (6)

    • There's a good chance that Ahmadinejad will go down in the June elections. Even the conservatives clerics are tired of all the shit he has stirred up.
      The 25% inflation rate isn't helping him win friends either.

      Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

      (4)

  • The Iranians talk too much **** for us to believe they have nothing but peaceful intentions for their technological advances. We should shoot their satellite out of the sky and remind remind them that we are the top dog in the park.

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (3)

  • Comment of user 'theMESSIAH' has been deleted by author!
  • Don't worry folks, Obama will save us by canceling any anti-ballistic missile programs we have going.

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (2)

  • The very best scenario is that this piece of shit Ahmadinejad actually believes in the Islamic myth. i feel sorry for the Persian people, however, and pray they return to their Zoroastrian roots.

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (1)

  • I don't think Iranians will declare a hot war if we blew that satellite.

    It's just a satellite that we don't want it to be there.

    No Iranians gets killed.

    Shoot it down.

    Posted Feb-5-2009 By 

    (0)

  • I don't think Americans will declare a hot war if Iranians blew a few satellites.

    It's just satellites that they don't want it to be there.

    No Americans gets killed.

    So? Shoot it down!!!

    Baby, the life is not like you are thinking!
    can a country send a satellite, they can shoot it down too!!!

    Posted Feb-8-2009 By 

    (0)

  • Good

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (0)

  • Suppose they get nukes and ICBMs? All it means is that they'll have to be deal with with diplomacy like Nth Korea. Let the politicians earn their money I say.

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (0)

  • When Iran gets nuckes. They will at least have pease from the US and Israel. If i was Iran i would have made them ASAP. If they dont The Americans and Israel will always be a pain in the ass.
    Power is the only language the west know about. And haveing Nuckes means power. Power to be left alone.

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (0)

  • Hysterics and propagation - don't be stupid - US want to destroy Iran much more than Iran want to destroy US - US want cheap gas - Iran don't want to give it, very simple..

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (0)

  • Where did the satellite crash?

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (0)

  • For fucks sakes. Isn't any other country allowed to have satellites, military or not, besides the usual ones? Nations develop and prosper. Sure they are way behind the West in technology but I have no problems with any country launching satellites. Even my country has them!

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (-1)

    • well... Australia isnt exactly a country run by insane people that want to do, and believe in a religion to justify their urge to do, 3 things.

      1) Destroy Israel
      2) Destroy America and its allies
      3) make everyone a muslim, non-believers will be killed.

      so yah, everyone on this rock should be concerned when insane people get any sort of technology.

      Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

      (2)

    • 1) world court judges 14 to 1 that Israel have occupied parts of Palestine sins 1967, the world nations have voted every year sins 1980, 167 to 7 for 2 state solution. If you wonder who that 7 country are? the United States, Israel and Naru, Palau, Tuvalu, Micronesia and the Marshall Islands.
      So Israel be destroyed? no, maybe forced to obey the law.

      2) destroy America? 50 wars since 1945. 200 million dead in result of that 50 wars. 45 democratic elected governments toppled. poisoning the ear More..

      Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

      (-2)

    • i do not get it. why are u being a history teacher instead of acknowledging that Imadinnerjacket and his muslim cronies called for the destruction of Israel and America?

      3) conversion, or rather forced conversion. or killing the person in question. thats wat the koran says anyway.

      Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

      (0)

    • Insane people already do have sort of technology!

      Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

      (0)

    • heh. if u read my post u'll know that i was saying people should be concerned.

      tsk.

      Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

      (0)

  • so what? everyone else did it but when Iran does it, is it really so bad?

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (-2)

  • is iran anymore triggerhappy than the u.s.,great britain,france,russia etc...? evens the playing field a little one would think.

    Posted Feb-4-2009 By 

    (-2)