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Earth's Ultimate Fate

by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) Feb 21, 2008

"The big news: Earth is doomed to fry and then be gobbled up by the dying Sun."

[But don't blow your savings on an Apocalypse Party just yet, for astronomers say the planet's demise is 7.6 billion years away.

[The unusual calculations appear in the British open-access journal Astrophysics (on http://uk.arxiv.org/).

Robert Smith, emeritus reader in astronomy at the University of Sussex, southern England, previously calculated that as the Sun runs out of fuel, it will expand into a dangerous "red giant".

But Earth -- while battered and burnt to a crisp -- would escape ultimate destruction, he had thought.

Smith, working with Klaus-Peter Schroeder at the University of Guanajuato in Mexico, has taken a new run through the figures. Sadly, for our home, the number is up.

"The tenuous outer atmosphere of the Sun extends a long way beyond its visible surface, and it turns out the Earth would actually be orbiting within these very low-density outer layers," Smith says.

"The drag caused by this low-density gas is enough to cause the Earth to drift inwards, and finally to be captured and vaporised by the Sun."

Life on Earth will have become rather uncomfortable before then, however.

A billion years from now, as the Sun slowly expands, the oceans will evaporate, filling the atmosphere with water vapor (a potent greenhouse gas) and triggering runaway global warming.

Smith sketches two options, both admittedly sci-fi in feel, for escaping this fate.

One is to harness the gravitational pull of a passing asteroid to gently tug Earth out of the danger zone.

A wee nudge every 6,000 years could be enough to survive for at least five billion years -- provided a miscalculation does not send the asteroid barreling into Earth instead of doing a close flyby, says Smith.

"A safer solution may be to build a fleet of interplanetary 'life rafts' that could maneuver themselves always out of reach of the Sun but close enough to use its energy," he says.]

Source:
http://www.spacedaily.com/
http://uk.arxiv.org/


Click to view image: '154650-RedGiantEarth.jpg'

Added: Feb-21-2008 
By: Vega375
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Tags: http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/The_end_is_near..._well_in_7.6_billion_years_999.html
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  • Fake satellite threat is a good way to hide the real target.

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (1)

  • I'm buying up stock in sun block.

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • Comment of user 'ukilledkenny' has been deleted by moderator!
  • ukilledkenny: "It will be our responsibility to bring every life form from Earth with us on our space journey. If we even survive that long. But then we do have a billion years to plan for it."
    Still...with the scale of an operation that size it's probably never too soon to start planning. Probably easier just to legalize cloning and grab dna samples and keep em stored.

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • 7 billion years from now the earth and sun will be our playtoys and only do what we want them to do, if we even care enough to play with them.

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • The time scale os off. We have at least 5 to 6 billion years before these events start to occur.

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • I'm guessing by then we'll either: 1) Have left the planet in ships in search for another planet. 2) Have evolved to the point where we don't need bodies anymore. 3) Been wiped out by something else naturally. or 4) Have already killed ourselves off because humans are so retarded that we can't say "It's cool man, even though you and I look different and believe different things we can still let each other be, cheers."

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • "astronomers say the planet's demise is 7.6 billion years away"

    i remember that

    we'll be lucky if we survive the next couple hundred years given the way things are going

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • I believe its less time than that THE temperature will become HOTTER period.. Im sure earth will be unlivable in 3 billion years nomatter what we do Thats if its not destroyed by some giga asteroid or aliens :)

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • Solar warming! Save us algore!

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • not an issue for me anymore. i'm 58 already...

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • Whew! I got scared at first but then I noticed it was billions not millions of years. What a relief!

    Joking - voted -need way more science!!

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • lasrever: ""astronomers say the planet's demise is 7.6 billion years away"

    i remember that

    we'll be lucky if we survive the next couple hundred years given the way things are going"
    way to turn a cool post about the sun into one of your "oh woe is humanity" posts. you have so much potential... oh well.

    Posted Feb-22-2008 By 

    (0)

  • I like how they will tell us when the earth will end but they cant tell us the temperature for the next 3 days.

    Posted Feb-23-2008 By 

    (0)

  • Comment of user 'FatBastard' has been deleted by moderator!