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Former general: Israel can't defeat Iran

Former National Security Council Chairman Giora Eiland warns against Israeli strike in Iran; Israel does not possess military capabilities that would enable Jewish State to completely destroy Tehran's nuclear program, he says

Israeli officials have been repeatedly warning that Israel may end up attacking Iran, yet former National Security Council Chairman Giora Eiland says such strike would not eliminate Tehran's nuclear program.

Speaking at a conference of the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University, Eiland says Israel cannot defeat Iran's regime via a military operation.

"To our regret, there is no Israeli military capability that would enable us to reach a situation whereby Iran's nuclear capabilities are destroyed without the possibility of recovery," he said. "The maximal achievement that Israel can accomplish is to disrupt and suspend Iran's nuclear program." "The million dollar question" is the extent of a sufficient suspension period, Eiland said.

The former general said that Israel "cannot defeat Iran," adding that an Israeli military operation or aerial strike cannot force Iran to capitulate or end its nuclear development efforts.

Price of failure
Eiland added that any operation against Iran would require Israeli coordination with the United States, mostly in strategic terms.

"It is completely clear that if an Israeli operation in Gaza requires certain level of coordination with the US, this is certainly the case with an operation in Iran, where the implications beyond Israel are of course far reaching," he said.

The former general emphasized that the primary risk in undertaking a military operation against Iran is its potential failure. "If you undertake a failed military operation, you pay three-fold: firstly, you didn't succeed in hitting what you wanted, secondly, you've hurt your deterrence capabilities, and thirdly, you're perceived as the aggressor," he said.

"Iran is not Iraq of 1981 and not even Syria of 2007. It is likely that an attack on Iran would garner a widespread response not merely by Iran, but also other nations in the region," he said. An additional danger, added Eiland, is that Iran would attack not only Israeli targets but also American targets in the region.

The window of opportunity for an attack on Iran, as perceived by Eiland, is "short-lived." He predicted such a possibility would be feasible between the summer of 2009 until the summer of 2011. This timetable will necessarily influence the next government's decision on which actions to take, he said.


Added: Dec-20-2008 
By: eneffigy
In:
Iraq, Iran, Middle East
Tags: us, russia, iran, israel
Views: 10955 | Comments: 31 | Votes: 0 | Favorites: 0 | Shared: 0 | Updates: 0 | Times used in channels: 1
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  • that is some smart thinking MR.Giora Eiland!!!

    Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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  • Nuclear weapons are not ment to be used in war--- I know it sounds stupid. The fact is, Nuclear weapons are for deterence--- Mutual Assured Deterence aka MAD. India and Pakistan both have nukes, but the will not go to war because of the fact that the both will suffer greatly from going to war- they both have mutual assured deternce of going to war with each other

    Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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    • Don't know why someone gave you a thumbs down, you are right, it sounds illogical but we all own nukes for safety. Thing is, at the moment it is all balanced.
      'If you launch a nuke at us, we will launch one at you' - which would basically be like nuking yourself.

      I'm sad to say though, I wouldnt trust any country there with Nukes though. More suicide bombers come from the middle east than anywhere else in the world, because of their 'faith' in 'god'.

      It just has bad news written all over More..

      Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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    • Agreed too! But ...
      If this is really the truth, why shouldn't Iran have the nuke too? don't get me wrong - but if you're open-minded, this question has to be. then there would be no more war in the middle-east, because every one faces the danger of being eliminated (according to this logic). and to face the coming answer: "they are evil and irrational" --> evil maybe, but the didn't start any war in hundreds of years (like other countries). and irrational? not irrational enough to More..

      Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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    • imo, u r wrong. simply because the islamic countries like Iran are led by fascist cunts that spent too much time reading their holy book, and conjuring rhetoric against the west, instead of pondering about how to make the country a better place.

      plus, these religious freaks WANT to die.

      in addition, other than conventional nukes, one has to consider a dirty bomb. give some radioactive material to Hamas (they'd gladly do it), they send a suicide bomber, boom. area uninhabitable for a really lon More..

      Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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    • Well, you'd like to think so, but I think if you gave Iran nukes, then both Israel and Iran would be very flat. I wouldnt trust Iran with anything volatile.
      Their population is volatile as it is.
      It's like aliasX said - they spend too much time conjouring up hate for the west and anyone 'different' than them and less about making their country a better place. Heck a lot of supplies are coming from Iran to fuel the fight against our troops.
      I sincerely doubt that Israel would fire a nuke on Ir More..

      Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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    • Let me revise my comment... The idea of Nuclear Warfare is deterence enough from going to war. The possibility of your enemy using a nuclear weapon on you, or you using one on him if the odds are that your gonna get a flurry of nuclear weapons coming back at you, and more going back at them vise versa. balances out the benefit of nuclear weapons. lose lose situation if 2 countries that have nuclear weapons going to war with each other.

      The cold war did not become a hot war due to the fact that More..

      Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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  • Isreal cant no...

    US can!

    Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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  • A pretty loaded title. He's saying that Israel alone does not have to capability to find and destroy the Iranian program, "beyond recovery."

    That-IMHO-is an accurate assessment.

    Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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  • The middle east just needs to 'calm the Fk down'.

    Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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    • true true.

      i hope the Israeli and Iranian head of states are at least talking to each other about this very serious security situation to defuse it. for the sake of the world.

      Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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    • amen brother

      Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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    • Yeah, hope so.
      Concidering the knock on effect if one nuke is fired, this planet could be conciderably flatter.
      Its all very childish, everyone in the middle east really has no reason to dislike eachother if you think about it.

      But theyre never going to wake up and realise that were all human. I blame religion, I mean Hitler was celebrated by many muslims for what he did to the Jews. Wish people would keep their religious beliefs to themselves.

      Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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  • mmmmmmmmmmm.....well what they can DO and what they WILL do are two different things for Israel.

    Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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  • One War To Another! Let See That Again!

    Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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  • Of course Israel can destroy Iran. They have Nukes.

    Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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    • true... but they have to play the political game as well.

      usage of nukes might cause even the US to alienate Israel somewhat. and would undoubtedly get all the Middle Eastern countries screaming for Israeli blood.

      or worse, they might mobilise their military.

      if Israel nukes all of them... well... no. that's not gonna happen. the jews are too smart for that. lol.

      uh, i dun mean to offend u, and if i did, im truly sorry... i just cant find a better way to phrase it.

      Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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    • If isreal used nukes they (the Isrealis) would face their makers.

      Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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    • yes "nuke em"

      moron

      Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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    • israel will be destroyed before they can hit that red shiny button

      Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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  • all nuclear weapons should be banned by all civilized nations. any nation, including the US or Israel, of course, that threatens to use or make them should be sanctioned -- if force can't be used then by boycott

    Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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    • if your idea were to be implemented, it would place the US and Israel at a severe disadvantage because Iran has oil. lots of it.

      im looking forward to using 100% clean energy one day, hopefully Obama does wat he says... and it would be nice if foreign countries (including my own) chip in to this cause, of freeing mankind from oil.

      then, we'll see how this joke of a country survive without oil money, and with heavy sanctions.

      Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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    • las, Ridding the world of Nukes is a righteous, humane, and altruistic proposal. However, you and I both know that all the efforts to limit, reduce, and ban the testing, production, and proliferation of said weapons has resulted in further instability and escallation (yes, I know, we started it, so let's not go there, Mr. Devil's Advocate)...Even as the various treaties which were intended to achieve that very result were enacted, the blowback which they produced hightened the potential for thei More..

      Posted Dec-21-2008 By 

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  • Israelis gotta go
    They are NOT good ppl any More

    They are like RepubliKKKans,, Pure EVIL

    Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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  • Bush should have gone to Iran instead of Iraq. or even better, preserve the strength of the American military might.

    now America has not enough strength to help wipe the blight of the region out, and Israel cant do it alone, and possibly faces death, or a real "region game-changer", once Iran gets its hands on nuclear weapons.

    damn.

    Posted Dec-20-2008 By 

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