
Bank of England policymakers may opt to inject a further £50bn of stimulus into Britain’s ailing economy this week, according to leading economists.
Worsening economic prospects could force the hand of the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee, which last month voted to pause its purchase of government bonds after pumping £325bn into the market through quantitative easing.
Since then however, the data have painted a picture of a worsening, not improving outlook for the British economy, and there is no sign of a solution to the eurozone crisis.
The Office for National Statistics said the recession that began in the first quarter was deeper than it initially thought, with the economy shrinking by 0.3pc in the first three months of the year and not 0.2pc as it previously estimated.
Then on Friday the Markit/CIPS manufacturing PMI showed the sector shrank at the fastest pace in three years in May, suggesting manufacturing will be a drag on the wider economy in the second quarter.
George Buckley, economist at Deutsche Bank, said the grim manufacturing PMI survey was "a game changer".
"Up until now we had been arguing the Bank would sanction no more QE after ending the previous programme last month. But conditions have worsened."
"The MPC cannot ignore this weaker news and we have thus changed our call for £50bn more quantitative easing to be announced at the June 7 policy meeting," he said.
Michael Saunders of Citigroup was of the same view.
“On balance, we forecast the MPC will expand QE by another £50bn at the June meeting,” he said.
“A delay in expanding QE might give the mistaken impression that the MPC believe they have little or no scope to ease further and are “keeping their powder dry” in order to use the remaining QE if the situation gets even worse.”
The MPC has left the door to more bond purchases wide open, and Citigroup is forecasting a total of £500bn of QE over time.
Howard Archer, chief UK economist at IHS Global Insight said an increase on Thursday was possible.
“We suspect that it will not take much more bad news on the growth front for the MPC to pull the QE trigger again and the dismal May manufacturing purchasing managers’ survey has provided a significant prod,” he said.
If a closely watched survey of the important services sector released hours before MPC members make their decision this week shows a contraction, it could prompt the Bank to fire up its money printing presses again.
Simon Hayes, an analyst at Barclays Capital, said: "If the services sector PMI published on Thursday morning were to show a similarly precipitous fall, the MPC is likely to give serious consideration to a QE expansion."
Inflation continued to fall in April, providing more leeway for a fresh money injection.
The International Monetary Fund has recommended that the MPC consider a further reduction in interest rates, which have been at an all-time low of 0.5pc since March 2009, to help the UK weather the eurozone debt crisis.
Although such a move is unlikely on Thursday, there are a growing number of economists who believe it is a possibility in the coming months.
Mr Saunders said he had “some hope” that the MPC would follow the IMF’s advice, while the British Chambers of Commerce argued it could be a useful incentive to boost bank lending.
Mr Buckley said there was a "non-negligible risk" of the Bank lowering rates to 0.25pc.----
Source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/9308789/Bank-of-England-to-consider-50bn-stimulus-for-economy.html
By: MB-UK
In: Regional News
Tags: bank, of, england, billions, stimulus, economy, uk, euro, crisis
Location: England, United Kingdom (UK/GB) (load item map)
Marked as: approved
Views: 1290 | Comments: 18 | Votes: 0 | Favorites: 0 | Shared: 0 | Updates: 0 | Times used in channels: 2
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in the words of that bloke from dads army... we'r alll doooomed!
Posted Jun-3-2012 Byyoupube (155.30) 
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Things are not looking good, lads. Tighten your belts coz I think this is going to get a lot worse. Australia is doing OK so far, but it cannot last with the rest of the world experiencing rising unemployment.
Cut your costs. Reduce spending. Go back and live with your parents if you can/need to. Definitely hang on to your job real tight. Sell anything you don't need to get the cash. Reduce your mortgage if you can.
The 3 essentials are food, clothing, shelter.
Posted Jun-3-2012 ByTriode (470.50) 
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@Triode try living withthe 2 women i live with pal, if it takes electicity or gas and it can be turned on and not used by fuck it will be, and i dare turn the t.v off cos no-one is watching it theres all bloody hell to pay, and dont get me started on the fucking heating in JUNE! i cant afford the shovel and bag of lime to get rid of either of them!
Posted Jun-3-2012 Byyoupube (155.30) 
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@Triode If your property values are rising, you better get out while you still can. Thats the trap in the US. Trap you in a loan for property that will be half the price next year.
Posted Jun-3-2012 Bybuttkracken (660.08) buttkracken View Channel Send Message
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@Triode
...there is more you can do cutting your costs. use solar panels and produce ur own power u need for your household (u`ll see that on many roofs here...but not in the uk). install a solar heat system for hot water (same with solar). just an idea....
Posted Jun-3-2012 Byrestonva69 (100.66) 
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@restonva69 Lol the sun only shine 3 days a year in the uk
Posted Jun-3-2012 Bymarkymark69 (552.64) markymark69 View Channel Send Message
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@Triode Australia is doing very well and will continue too.you are in a strategic posistion now and you are making huge sales of minerals to china .australia is on the brink of a huge boom
Posted Jun-3-2012 Bymarkymark69 (552.64) markymark69 View Channel Send Message
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Yep throw more money at it... It has to work eventually right??.. Fuckin idiots (and that goes for the dumb asses running my country too).
Posted Jun-3-2012 Byseanwoody716 (207.50) 
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The problem is that Government austerity consists of throwing people in the public sector out of work in the hope the private sector can create work for them. Unfortunately the private sector is also losing money because there are so many people not buying their services/products because they are losing their jobs.
Posted Jun-3-2012 Byfr33thinker (900.80) fr33thinker View Channel Send Message
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want to stimulate the ecconomy? give somthing back to us poor bastards on nmw working 48+ hours a week so they can just about afford to shop at bastard llidl, cut the tax on fags booze and petrol for a lil while, something to lift the spirits of the populace, cos all were seeing is everything costing more, and getting less for the price, give us a break you money grabing set of cunts and stop sending our taxes to 3rd world shitholes that are in a better financial possition than we are, stop tryi More..
Posted Jun-3-2012 Byyoupube (155.30) 
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More money being transferred to corporations.
At least spend the money on an infrastructure project that is going to benefit the whole country for years to come.
Posted Jun-3-2012 Bydavele (74.20) 
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LMAO...didn't they learn by watching the Obama do the same shit and now we are fucked forever
Posted Jun-4-2012 ByMatBower (170.50) MatBower View Channel Send Message
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