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Employment 'catastrophe’ if euro bloc splits

Eurozone unemployment reached a record high as a United Nations agency warned of a “catastrophic” rise in the jobless count if the sovereign debt crisis worsens.

By Tom Rowley
7:45PM BST 31 Aug 2012


The jobless count was particularly severe in Spain, where it stood at 25pc, according to Eurostat.

More than 18m people were out of work in the 17 eurozone nations last month, the highest total since records began in 1995. The jobless count was particularly severe in Spain, where it stood at 25pc, according to Eurostat.

A European Commission spokesman warned that the numbers were now at a “critical” level and could pose a “serious threat to social cohesion” if they were not tackled, leading analysts to warn of even tighter household spending ahead.

The data came as the UN’s International Labour Organisation issued a stark assessment of future job losses if Greece left the eurozone or the bloc split. Greece’s exit would see one in eight without work across the eurozone, with young people faring worst, predicted Ekkehard Ernst, a senior economist at the organisation.

“It would be a catastrophe for the European youth,” Mr Ernst told German newspaper Sueddeutsche Zeitung. Spanish unemployment would rise to 27.7pc by 2014, with 51.3pc of 15-24 year-olds out of work, he said. Portugal would also record a significant rise in its jobless count.

He stressed that a Greek exit would not only affect countries with flagging economies, predicting even Germany would see nearly one in 10 unemployed.

A complete break-up of the single currency would create a further surge in the jobless, Mr Ernest added. German unemployment would rise to 11.3pc in two years and remain at that level. The jobless rate would also soar to 17pc in France while more than one in three Spaniards would be without a job.

The young would again be the worst hit, with youth unemployment rising to 34pc in France, 38pc in Italy and 59pc in Spain.

The collapse would only exacerbate the current youth unemployment rate, which stood at 22.6pc in the eurozone in July, according to Eurostat.

Greece is suffering from the highest youth unemployment, at 54pc, just ahead of Spain’s count of 53pc.

The EU spokesman said the figures showed eurozone governments now had to do everything possible to avoid a “lost generation”.

Ben May, from Capital Economics, said July’s rise in joblessness combined with fuel price increases “supports the view the downturn in household spending will intensify in the second half of this year”.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9513041/Employment-catastrophe-if-euro-bloc-splits.html


Added: Sep-1-2012 Occurred On: Sep-1-2012
By: gemini
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Tags: uemployment
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  • There is going to be a lost generation BECAUSE of the Euro.

    Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

    (2)

    • @Bawbag I think there is a structural problem here. There's something wrong with "money" or "debt" or some..."thing".

      It keeps happening. No matter how many laws, rules, methods, techniques, lessons, "understandings" we put in place, we keep having these economic cycles.

      Look -- there are the same number of people now as there were before the crisis. They still need food, water, clothing, housing. There are still needs, and available hands to make More..

      Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

      (2)

    • @Saros I agree, the whole thing is very complicated. I do blame the politicians for the mess we are in now as none ever gave their people a vote on the whole shambles that is the Euro.

      Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

      (1)

  • There's one great big depression heading our way.

    Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

    (2)

  • we all should know what came after the last economic depression - WW2

    Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

    (2)

  • The euro's demise was inevitable. Might as well get rid of it now and get the pain over with.

    Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

    (1)

  • WW3 you think? Last time the world went through something like this, the Germans in particular got kinda fiesty. LOL.

    Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

    (1)

  • The only way to lessen the impact is a Eurobond....the Germans of course would cost them the most and take on the biggest risk but to save whats left thats the only solution if the Euro was to survive...it would be painful for a few years but at least gives the Piigs countries a bit of breathing room.US,China,Canada and Russia wont help forget about the oil rich countries they are too busy making billions in profits to care.....

    Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

    (0)

  • I'm tired of it, just blame Obama for that too.

    Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

    (0)

  • Comment of user 'RugOutFromUnderYou' has been deleted by author!
  • If the Germans were smart they would exit the Euro now while they still have money left. The rot of the Euro will turn gangrene and poison anything still attached to it. Stay in the EU and you will be plundered (bailouts) till you have nothing left, then told to leave the Euro. Europe needs to rise up and kick the bankers ass through the uprights.

    Posted Sep-1-2012 By 

    (0)