About eight months ago I was visiting an old friend in San Francisco and, for reasons I couldn't then explain, I found myself betting him and his son $100 each that the Democrats would lose their majority in both houses of Congress in the United States mid-term elections this November.
It seemed like easy money to them then - surely the Democrats wouldn't lose the Senate - but I think they are going to owe me $200.
Much is being made of this in the media at the moment - how disappointed Obama's former supporters are, how angry and mobilised the Republican "base" are, how extremely hostile to him the new Republican-controlled House and Senate will be. How can he be so calm about this? Why doesn't he get out there and fight?
Well, he has made a few fairly fiery speeches recently, but he knows speeches won't do much good. His supporters are disappointed because it has been a long,
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