Bubbles, Easy Money, and Free-Lunch Monetary Policy

August 22, 2015 by Dan Mitchell


https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2015/08/22/bubbles-eas




What’s the biggest economic fallacy on the left? What’s the defining mistake for our statist friends?

One obvious answer is that many of them hold the https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2014/06/27/the-amazing that the economy is a

fixed piehttps://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2014/01/26/everything-you-ever-needed-to-know-about-the-lefts-view-of-income-inequality-captured-in-a-single-image/ and that one person can’t climb the economic ladder unless another person falls a few rungs.

There’s no doubt that the fixed-pie myth is an obstacle to sound thinking, but I’m wondering whether an even bigger problem is the pervasive belief on the left that there are easy shortcuts to prosperity.

https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2014/05/26/the-perplex, for instance, is based on the notion that more growth is just a simple question of having the government spend more money.

And Keynesian monetary policy is based on a similarly simplistic assumption that more growth is generated by having central banks create more money.

To be sure, both policies may seem to work in the short run since people suddenly perceive that they have more money. But perceptions and reality may be different, particularly if the short-run boost in the economy is an illusory bubble.

And that’s why https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2011/09/22/the-federal of QE-type policies designed to “stimulate” growth with artificially low interest rates.

And I’m not the only one who has a jaundiced view.

The Wall Street Journal also is not happy with the Federal Reserve, www.wsj.com/articles/a-fine-fed-mess-1440197469 that the real economy has stagnated as financial assets have been propped up by easy money.

…the Fed has only itself to blame for its economic and political predicament. …One lesson here is that the Fed’s great monetary experiment since the recession ended in 2009 looks increasingly like a failure. Recall the Fed’s theory that quantitative easing (bond buying) and near-zero interest rates would lift financial assets, which in turn would lift the real economy. …But while stocks have soared, as have speculative assets like junk bonds and commercial real estate, the real economy hasn’t. This remains the worst economic recovery by far since World War II…the economic expectations of Fed Chairs Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen have been consistently wrong. …the Fed now finds itself caught between a slowing global economy and its promise to begin normalizing rates this year. …One result has been to increase economic uncertainty and market volatility.

Another result is that easy-money policies give politicians an excuse to avoid the real reforms that would boost long-run growth.

I definitely think that’s https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2015/01/23/are-easy-mo. Politicians keep waiting for magical results from the European Central Bank when the real obstacle to prosperity is a stifling burden of taxation, spending, and regulation.

The bottom line is that politicians all over the world are https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2012/09/14/qe3-a-risky bad fiscal and regulatory policy with bad monetary policy.

But politicians never seem to learn. Or maybe they just don’t care. https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2013/06/20/the-link-be focus on the short run (i.e., the next election) and it always feels good when the bubble is expanding.

And when the government-created bubble https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2012/12/23/question-of, they can simply blame greed, or rich people, or find some other scapegoat (and then https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2013/04/03/apparently- as soon as the dust settles).

P.S. For a more detailed look at Austrian economics, check out https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2013/06/06/a-primer-on. And Austrian-school scholars also have thttps://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2011/01/25/if-you-want-to-understand-why-keynesianism-is-wrong-and-how-government-mistakes-caused-the-great-depression-learn-about-austrian-economics/ of the Great Depression.

P.P.S. And for a more conventional critique of easy-money policies, here are https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2015/03/03/the-potenti by a member of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee.

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